Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.360277 0.393503 0.428906 0.469517 0.514915 0.564215 0.621956
2025-12-14 0.301664 0.347512 0.399653 0.463687 0.540681 0.630868 0.745374
2025-12-21 0.261908 0.312259 0.372005 0.448785 0.545790 0.665550 0.826596
2025-12-28 0.243039 0.298143 0.365892 0.456376 0.575679 0.729918 0.948268
2026-01-04 0.227465 0.285822 0.359761 0.461835 0.601514 0.789606 1.068469
2026-01-11 0.213659 0.274119 0.352758 0.464528 0.622627 0.843502 1.185149
2026-01-18 0.201566 0.263431 0.345804 0.466000 0.641230 0.894493 1.302100
2026-01-25 0.191964 0.255203 0.341255 0.469947 0.662995 0.951218 1.433280
2026-02-01 0.179402 0.241911 0.328525 0.460765 0.663999 0.975989 1.515518
2026-02-08 0.171616 0.234760 0.323879 0.462857 0.681851 1.027921 1.647830
2026-02-15 0.163063 0.225915 0.316085 0.459393 0.690362 1.065116 1.758541
2026-02-22 0.156731 0.219886 0.311971 0.461115 0.706995 1.116761 1.900612
2026-03-01 0.148680 0.210963 0.303114 0.454953 0.710523 1.147092 2.008565
2026-03-08 0.141369 0.202766 0.294892 0.449224 0.714275 1.178121 2.121974
2026-03-15 0.132657 0.191966 0.281992 0.434887 0.701911 1.178786 2.174744
2026-03-22 0.129508 0.189579 0.282142 0.442191 0.727952 1.252218 2.386064
2026-03-29 0.126133 0.186632 0.281178 0.447444 0.750591 1.321281 2.598001
2026-04-05 0.122438 0.182973 0.278815 0.450036 0.768415 1.382574 2.801734
2026-04-12 0.118757 0.179141 0.275930 0.451452 0.784024 1.440827 3.007179
2026-04-19 0.115762 0.176268 0.274463 0.455249 0.804408 1.510786 3.251348
2026-04-26 0.110648 0.169672 0.266359 0.446415 0.799256 1.526370 3.363885
2026-05-03 0.107764 0.166655 0.264214 0.448427 0.815857 1.590343 3.609744
2026-05-10 0.104136 0.162225 0.259396 0.445095 0.821257 1.630069 3.798393